Tata Ste(a)l deal

In the midst of sub prime mortgage woes, there’s been little interest for bonds and CDOs. Even in such a scenario, when Tata Steel has managed to raise $725 million through foreign currency convertible alternative reference securities (CARS), which was oversubscribed by more than two times. There is a greenshoe option of $150 million, which has not yet been exercised.

Tatas have always been an excellent credit risk. Yet, I was a bit curious about its timing and even more about the structure of this bond.

The CARS will be convertible at an initial conversion price of Rs 876.6225 a share, which is at a premium of 35 per cent to the company’s closing share price on the National Stock Exchange of India as on August 6, 2007.

The CARS carry a 1 per cent coupon and the effective YTM is 5.15 per cent. The outstanding CARS, if any, at maturity will be redeemable at a premium of 23.3419 per cent of the principal amount.

Current 3M Libor is 5.36%. Considering this Tatas got a fair deal as it’s long term money. The redemption premium of 23.34% on outstanding CARS must have been alluring to the lenders but when you factor in an asset like Corus in its bag, Tata Steel stock have only one way to go – up. Hence conversion is almost a given and question of outstanding CARS may not arise.

I wouldn’t rule out a buyback initiative by TATAs close to conversion or maturity (not known now), knowing their preference against dilution of controlling stakes. Call it Tata Steel deal now, closer to maturity don’t be surprised if it looks like a Tata Ste(a)l…

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Did you say valuation ?

Earlier during my career, I had known several companies where owner CEO `A’ meets another owner `B’ at some party and talk deal. It could either be a total buyout or acquiring one of its divisions or brand or some assets. No due diligence, no valuation exercise, not even verification of asset quality or title. In owner CEO situation, you can’t ask questions. Just do it.

But will TATA do something like it ? It seems when driven by despair, even they would.

The Tatas are paying Rs.140 per share for acquiring Mount Everest Mineral Water, which values the company at around Rs.4.60 billion($115 m). For a company with an annual turnover of Rs.250 million ($6.25m), it’s a very steep price. Mount Everest’s net profit in the quarter ending December 2006 was a mere Rs.3.3 million ($82.5 k). Earnings per share added up for the four quarters ending December 2006 amounted to only 53 paise ($ 0.013).

After Vodafone buyout of HutchEssar, yet another case of acquisitive ego defying valuation math…full story here.

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Between an SEZ here and an SEZ there…in China

When the people of Uttar Pradesh elected Mayawati’s BSP with a thumping majority (overthrowing Mulayam Singh’s Samajwadi Party), her first item in the agenda for governance was a given – review all SEZ cleared by the Mulayam Singh, the former Chief Minister of the State.

In one of its most significant decisions since assuming power, the Mayawati government in UP has announced its intention to refer the allotment of 1,200 acres of land to Reliance Anil Dhirubhai Ambani Group for setting up an SEZ, to the Union government for review.

I also had a lookback at Nandigram riots in West Bengal (over Tata's SEZ) where the Left rules – for several decades now.

I was reading Vinnie's post on instant Chinese cities (Thanks Vinnie, for the pointer) and felt a bit wistful. How long would it take for our people to learn from our enterprising neighbors?

Excerpts from NatGeo article -

“In 23 minutes, they designed an office, a hallway, and three living rooms for factory managers. On the top floor, the workers' dormitories required another 14 minutes. All told, they had mapped out a 21,500-square-foot (2,000 square meters) factory, from bottom to top, in one hour and four minutes. Boss Gao handed the scrap of paper to the contractor. The man asked when they wanted the estimate."How about this afternoon?"

The contractor looked at his watch.

It was 3:48 p.m.

"I can't do it that fast!"

"Well, then tell me early in the morning."

That’s how they do it in China. We bloody well understand and fast…

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